Housing finance growth is set to slow down to 13-15% this fiscal, lower than the average of the past three years, due to the lingering liquidity issues faced by non-banking lenders, warns a report by top-rating agency.

There can also be an adverse impact on the outstanding housing credit, which stood at Rs.19.1 lakh crore as of March 2019.

It can be noted that the government is betting on housing sector as one of the major vehicles to push the sagging economic growth.

Given the tough operating environment, we expect housing credit growth in FY20 to be in the range of 13-15% which is lower than the last three years when it clipped past 17%

The overall industry loan growth for housing finance companies had slowed down to 15% for FY18.

The issues with the non-banking lenders since last September that have seen a slew of companies like DHFL and Reliance Capital suffering, slowed down credit growth of dedicated housing finance companies to 10% in FY19.

Banks grew faster at 19% as against 13%, taking their overall market share to 64% from 62% in the year-ago period, and banks will lead the growth curve in FY20 as well.

However, given the under-penetration of mortgages, we can expect growth to recover soon.

The gross non-performing assets ratio from the overall housing finance exposures increased to 1.5 in March 2019, from 1.1 a year ago.

There could be some pressure on the asset quality owing to the challenging operating environment and the emerging risk factors.

The overall NPAs of HFCs will grow to up to 1.8% due to troubles faced by some developers.

Unlike most previous financial years, when NPAs decline in the last quarter through enhanced recovery efforts, gross NPAs increased to 1.5% as on March 2019 (against 1.4% in December 2018) from 1.1% as of March 2018.

Some reduction in NPAs was seen in the affordable new housing segment, to 4.6% as of March 2019 from 5% as of December 2018, attributing to the write-offs and sale of NPAs by some of the players.

Housing finance companies would require Rs 4-4.5 lakh crore in FY20 to meet the growth requirement of 10-14% and companies will have to resort to securitisation.

Source: https://realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/industry/investors-convinced-of-certainty-of-investment-returns-in-indian-real-estate-experts/68687441

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